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Sunday, September 23 2018 @ 08:01 AM UTC

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Control Of The National Assembly Is Still Up For Grabs - Even After The Last Election Results Are Defined

PoliticsAfter long hours of tension, screaming, and fights, the Circuit Election Board (8-6 District) finally proclaimed the winners of the seven seats in the National Assembly, to represent the area of San Miguelito.

From the Democratic Revolutionary Party (PRD) were elected Zulay Rodríguez with 14,016 votes, Raul Pineda with 12,673 votes, and Leandro Avila with 12,106 votes.

Avila was fighting for this seat with Marcos González, the Deputy from the Democratic Change (CD) political party who was seeking reelection.

The members of the ruling party denounced alleged irregularities in the count, claims which were rejected by Avila.

For the CD - Dalia Bernal was reelected with 13,877 votes, and Héctor Valdés Carrasquilla, the current mayor of San Miguelito, received 12,196 votes. Francisco Pancho Aleman from the MOLIRENA political party (allied with the CD) was also reelected with 10,589 votes.

José Antonio Domínguez representing the Panameñista political party was elected with 6,752 votes. (Prensa)

Editor's Comment: That should be the final tally. The CD/MOLIRENA caucus has 33 seats. The PRD has 24 seats, and you can add the Independent Ana Matilde Gomez to that, for 25. The Panameñista/PP caucus has 13. That comes to a total of 71 seats, and whoever gets to 36 controls the National Assembly. Today the PRD is talking hard - saying only their National Executive Committee (CEN) has the power to negotiate a deal between the PRD and the Panameñistas to take control of the National Assembly. On the other side, Ricardo Martinelli and the CD will be fighting hard to split three PRD guys over to their side, giving them 36 votes and control of the Assembly. There's a lot of behind the scenes horse trading going on right now - it's a free for all...

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PRD Deputies Can't Decide By Themselves Who To Support

PoliticsThe National Executive Committee of the Democratic Revolutionary Party (PRD) met with those who were both newly elected and reelected to serve in the National Assembly on Sunday, May 4.

The PRD must decide whether to support the Democratic Change (CD) or the Panameñista party in the National Assembly, and the CEN made it clear that the Deputies cannot make this decision by themselves.

Benicio Robinson, the President of the PRD, said so far they have not been approached by either side.

He said they are going to let at least 9 days pass after the election to start thinking about that topic.

Diogenes Vergara, a newly elected PRD Deputy to the National Assembly, said he has a preference, and that he owes his party.

Meanwhile, Elias Castillo, who was reelected, said they are always approached, and he said "talking is one thing while making a decision is something else."

But Robinson made ​​it clear that no member "can decide for himself, this will be decided by the party. Anyone who wants to decide (for himself) will have left as an independent."

After the defeat suffered by the PRD in the last elections, with the presidential candidacy, some are pushing for a restructuring of the party.

Pedro Miguel Gonzalez, who returns to the Assembly after being elected, said he does not believe in an anticipated restructuring.

Robinson said they had already agreed that win or lose, in six months there would be changes in the collective.

The former CEN member Mitchell Doens said the party took a "group of people who do not sail for the rest ... gave him the party leadership of this group. They did not meet their responsibilities, and they must leave in an orderly manner with their heads held high, and accept that they could not do the job." (TVN)

Editor's Comment: What the hell is this, wishful thinking day? The PRD leadership is obviously trying to keep their caucus together. Did you notice that Pedro Miguel Gonzalez - who is still wanted as a terrorist in the United States for the murder of US Army Sergeant Zak Hernandez - was elected as a Deputy and will be returning to the National Assembly. He lost his seat in the 2009 election - thanks to an agreement between the CD and Panameñistas to run only one candidate against him, in order to not split the ticket and to make sure he would be gone (my suggestion). I guess this time around they (blew it), split the ticket, and allowed that bastard to get back in. Sooner or later big mama Karma will catch up to his ass. But anyway...

The PRD will probably not be able to prevent three or four of their members from defecting to the CD - in exchange for massive checks. They will flip Robinson the bird as they contemplate the new balance in their bank accounts. If the CD fails to grab control of the National Assembly I'll be amazed. But, I've been wrong on other things lately - so let's see how it actually turns out between now and the end of the year.

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Who Will Be The Allies Of The Panameñista Party In The National Assembly

PoliticsThe general elections of May 4th have left a new political scenario in the National Assembly that will take office on 1 July, requiring the Panameñista party - without a majority in the Assembly - to seek an alliance with one of the two major political parties that are in opposition to the administration of Juan Carlos Varela, because so far the "People First" alliance (Panameñistas and People's Party) only have 12 seats.

In the new Chamber, the Democratic Change will place 30 Deputies in their seats.

The Democratic Revolutionary Party (PRD) will have 21 seats as well as the Independent Deputy Ana Matilde Gomez.

There are still another seven seats to be decided and assigned.

This political landscape raises the question of who will be the allies of the Panameñista Party in the National Assembly.

Faced with rumors about a meeting between PRD members and President Ricardo Martinelli, the PRD politician Laurentino Cortizo said "this information is 100% false. The meetings with the PRD Deputies will be with the General Secretary of the party and former presidential candidate Juan Carlos Navarro."

"We will make a constructive opposition for the sake of the country, and we will not obstruct the operation of the government" headed by President-elect Juan Carlos Varela, said Cortizo, who did not rule out "the possibility of coming to an agreement with the Panameñista party on issues of national importance such as the appointment of the Controller, Attorney General, Judges of the Supreme Court, and the Electoral Prosecutor."

Cortizo recalled that during the administration of former president Mireya Moscoso (1999-2004), the National Assembly worked with the Executive. "We reached agreement with Mireya Moscoso on the laws that were important to the country, and at the end of her term in office the president acknowledged this," Cortizo said.

The PRD's National Executive Committee (CEN) met on Thursday, May 8 with its Secretary General, Juan Carlos Navarro. At a meeting they will discuss the issue of the role the PRD will play as part of the opposition starting from 1 July.

Is The CD Seeking Constitutional Reforms

On Wednesday afternoon, May 7, it was learned the current caucus of the Cambio Democratico party met with President Ricardo Martinelli, according to an article published in the El Siglo newspaper, with the aim of exploring the possibility of presenting constitutional reforms in special sessions.

Editor's Comment: The PRD leadership can do the math, and they also know exactly who got elected to the National Assembly. The CD will only need to flip three or four PRD guys, and they will have the 36 seats they need to maintain their complete control of the National Assembly for the next five years. It seems like it's Cortizo's turn for some wishful thinking. Of course there's been a line of PRD Deputies, both current and those recently elected, who want to talk to Ricardo Martinelli. The PRD will be fighting hard to maintain a solid caucus - because if they can keep anyone from flipping, then (and only then) they will be able to have "de facto" control of the National Assembly. Together with the Panameñistas, they will be able to control the agenda. However, that's an unlikely scenario.

Ricardo Martinelli will open up his checkbook. Those three or four guys they need will practically be able to name their price. It will be paid. They will flip. And, the CD will then spend the next five years torturing Varela. He won't be able to get shit done in the National Assembly, without first having to do a "mother, may I" to Martinelli.

Oh, and the thing about the reforms to the Constitution? If they pass those changes right now, this session of the National Assembly (2009 - 2014) will "count" - meaning any changes enacted will be implemented sooner. If they wait until after 1 July 2014, then the implementation date will be kicked back another five years. So, they might try to jam it through quickly. Watch for the line item that reduces the waiting period for former presidents from ten years to five. Martinelli wants to get back in there, as soon as possible.

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Belfon Confirms She Will Finish Her Term In Office (And Not Resign)

PoliticsThe Attorney General Ana Belfon said she would abide by the Constitution of Panama with regards to the length of time she should remain at the head of the Public Ministry, according to a statement released yesterday by the press office.

"The response from the Attorney General Ana Belfon is to continue to follow the Constitution and the laws of the Republic, like all citizens," said the statement in an email from the press office.

Belfon's response comes after the statements made by the president-elect Juan Carlos Varela, who told local media he would demand the resignation of officials whose efforts have been questioned by various sectors.

According to Article 221 of the Constitution, Belfon will remain in office through 31 December 2014, ending the ten years in office of the former Attorney General Ana Matilde Gomez, who was dismissed through a Supreme Court decision. (Prensa)

Editor's Comment: Obviously. There's no way in hell any of the top ranking people appointed by Martinelli are going to resign, in order to make things either easier or more comfortable for Varela. On the contrary, they will continue to do the CD's bidding, in an effort to damage his presidency as much as possible with an eye towards the 2019 election.

As I've been saying for the past couple of days, Martinelli still has the Supreme Court, National Assembly, Attorney General's office, Comptroller, tax collection office, anti-corruption czar - in short Martinelli has more control over the government of Panama than Varela.

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Tension Mount As The 7th Seat of San Miguelito is Defined

PoliticsThe patience of the supporters of the Democratic Change (CD) and PRD political parties is reaching its limits in San Miguelito, at the Circuital Board in the Rubiano school, where they have yet to define the last of the seven seats in the National Assembly for that district.

Marcos Gonzalez and Abraham Martinez of the CD, and Leandro Avila of the PRD are the politicians who are vying for the seventh seat.

Some supporters tried to pass the safety boundries established by the Electoral Delegates and the National Police, but this was avoided.

Campaign supporters denounced alleged movements of the acts, outside of the established boundaries, and they even say there are relatives of the candidates who are supposedly working on the board.

So far Zulay Rodriguez and Raul Pineda of the PRD, Héctor Valdés Carrasquilla and Dalia Bernal of the CD, Francisco Alemán of Molirena, and José Antonio Domínguez of the Panameñista party have secured their seats in the National Assembly for the 8-6 circuit.

Labor Minister Alma Cortés, a leader of the Democratic Change political party, says she has evidence proving election records were altered, and she says there is a family member of Leandro Ávila working on the canvassing board, and an official of that left with the documents in his hand and went to a car - and she says she has the photographs to prove it.

Meanwhile, Leandro Avila denies the allegations being made by Cortés, and he says that besides her, the Housing Minister Yasmina Pimentel is also at the scene.

"The government has turned to take my seat," he cried, and he said that if he wins or loses by one vote, he will accept the results. (TVN)

Editor's Comment: Right now the seven seats representing San Miguelito have yet to be officially defined.

Without these seven seats - right now - the CD and their Molirena allies have 30 seats. The PRD has 21. The Panameñistas and their Popular Party allies have 12. And, there is one Independent.

Six of the seven seats in San Miguelito have been defined. With those, the CD/Molirena caucus will have 33, the PRD will have 23, and the Panameñista/PP will have 13. The CD is working hard to get that last seat in San Miguelito - because that will give them 34. The magic number needed to control the National Assembly is 36. So, they would only need to turn two guys (easy) from the PRD. Fat checks make Panamanian Deputies in the National Assembly flip like flapjacks. There will be a brief bidding war, and then two or three guys will suddenly become CD players. Game, set, match.

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Varela Asks Key Martinelli Appointees To Resign

PoliticsThe president-elect Juan Carlos Varela insisted upon the resignation of several high ranking members of the current administration, including the President of the Supreme Court Jose Ayu Prado, and the Comptroller General Gioconda Torres de Bianchini.

"The Electoral Prosecutor, the President of the Supreme Court, the Comptroller, and the Manager of the Tocumen International Airport, who have not defended the interests of the state, it would be better if they resign," said Varela.

Varela said his request is to allow "the incoming government to arrive with much more agility, and to avoid tension in the beginning."

According to Varela he has designated Álvaro Alemán for the Ministry of the Presidency, who will be responsible for presenting the proposal to the National Assembly in the first week of his administration.

Ricardo Martinelli, the outgoing president, said via his Twitter account "Violating the institutions of the State is to call upon the government officials from other branches of government, to demand their resignations."

The political analyst Menalco Solis said Martinelli is inconsistent. "He has no moral authority. He asked Ana Matilde Gómez to resign, and when she refused, she was fired," he said. (Prensa)

Editor's Comment: Varela is smoking crack if he actually thinks any of these people are going to resign. It's true, having the Supreme Court, Attorney General's office, Comptroller, and all of the other people Martinelli appointed to long terms in office is going to be uncomfortable for him. To avoid tension in the beginning? Nah, the CD and Martinelli are going to be dealing Varela "tension" with the appointments he's already made, and in fact it's only going to be getting more interesting, if the CD ends up with 36 seats in the National Assembly. If that happens, they can conceivably decide to impeach him. Really. Well, no problem. In Varela logic, he can just ask all of those dudes to resign as well.

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Varela Pledges To Conduct Audits, and Change (Stuff He Can't Change)

PoliticsThe President-elect of Panama Juan Carlos Varela announced this morning he will conduct an audit of the costs of building community projects and hospitals.

In an interview with TVN Channel 2, Varela said he will allow there to be more transparency in procurement.

When asked about how the National Assembly was formed, he said "the people voted for a balance. Nobody should change parties."

"We will make a (National) Assembly with a State vision. I see an Assembly interacting with the president-elect, working for Panama," he said.

However, he said he will revoke the laws that were created to protect political issues, because it is the responsibility of the State.

He said during the first week of his Presidency he would submit three Bills to the National Assembly; primarily the issues of the Supreme Court, the Comptroller, and the Transparency Authority.

On another issue Varela said he would also meet with the newly elected mayors, without distinction of party, to build projects for communities. "Projects are going to have a human priority, such as the One Hundred Zero program," he said.

"In the first 30 days we will summon the Representatives and Mayors to be a part of this," he said.

He also promised to make amendments to the Constitution. "I was the only candidate who praised their remarkable work, and who met with them," he said.

On the formation of his new administration, he said he would seek consensus, with names from the civil society.

He added that if someone has the ability to collaborate on improving the country's destiny they will be called upon to be taken into account.

He also promised to not touch existing public officials. "I ask all public officials to be calm, I only ask that they meet their work schedules," he said.

He said there's going to be a "Citizen's Service Center" in the Presidency of the Republic, and he hopes there will be no road closures.

"There will be a 'call center' to receive calls from the Panamanian people, so as not to insult people," he said.

He also promised to respect freedom of expression. "We will provide access to information, transparency and freedom of expression ... We will motivate the investigative reporter to continue with their work."

Government publicity will not be used to attack or to silence anyone. "It will only be used for life and health issues," he said.

It will not be used to improve the image of anyone. He said the image will be defined in the work done in the village, referring to the use of public resources during the Martinelli administration .

Regarding relations with Venezuela, Varela said he will send a personal envoy to Caracas to restore that relationship.

Regarding sports, he said he would create a Sports Secretary, and the Pandeportes would come out from under the umbrella of the Ministry of Education, and would report directly to the Presidency. (Mi Diario)

Editor's Comment: Well, there's a whole lot of wishful thinking in this article. Martinelli was smart. He abolished the old DGI and created a new governmental organization (by law) called the Autoridad Nacional de Ingresos Públicos (ANIP) (National Public Income Authority). As part of that new law, Martinelli appointed Luis Cucalón to be the first Director of the newly created ANIP. He will be serving for seven years, and there's not a damn thing Varela can do about it, without changing the law. And right now it doesn't look like Varela is going to have control of the National Assembly.

Did you notice the line in this article where Varela says "Nobody should change parties"? More wishful thinking. There will be a half a dozen PRD guys telling Martinelli "write me a check for a million dollars, and I'm yours." Badda-bing, badda-boom, and the CD has complete and total control of the National Assembly for the next five years. He also controls the Supreme Court. In fact, Martinelli has more control over Panama than Varela.

The ANIP is the Panamanian version of the IRS. Luis Cucalón will be able to continue to selectively squeeze money out of Panamanian businessmen. The guys who are "friends of Varela" won't be able to get special favors or any sort of dispensation. While those who are friends of Martinelli can keep getting away with whatever they want. This is one of the things Varela would like to do away with.

Varela says he would like to create a new "Secretary of Sports" - but again, hard to do if you don't control the National Assembly.

There are several more. Martinelli created the new "Autoridad Nacional de Transparencia y Acceso a la Información" (ANTAI) (National Authority for Transparency and Access to Information) through Law 33 of 25 April 2013. And, Martinelli appointed Abigail Benzadón Cohen to be the Director General of the new Authority - for seven years. Now there will be a Martinelli-appointed watchdog, backed by the power of law, to make sure Varela can't steal public funds. Varela said he wants there to be more transparency in government. That's a good thing, because the "anti corruption czar" works for Martinelli. He says in this article he wants to strike down or revoke this law. Nope. Not without the National Assembly. Drat.

Another serious problem for Varela is that the Comptroller General of the Republic - the person who has to sign off on all government contracts - is Gioconda Torres de Bianchini. She was Martinelli's accountant for his Super99 chain of supermarkets, before taking over as the Comptroller. And, she will be in the position through the end of 2014. Can Varela remove her from office? Nope. Not without the National Assembly. Varela said he will "conduct an audit" of the way Martinelli spent money. Who does those audits? The Comptroller.

Attorney General? Martinelli appointed Ana Belfon who will also serve through the end of 2014. So Varela won't be in control of Panama's prosecutors until she's done.

There's a line in this article about the "issue of the Supreme Court." Varela's problem is that five of the nine sitting Supreme Court justices were appointed by Martinelli. And, there's not a damn thing he can do about that. Varela will appoint four justices during his term in office, replacing the last of those who were appointed during the administration of Martin Torrijos. But, he will never achieve control of the Supreme Court. And were do all of the really important cases end up in Panama? In the Supreme Court. Martinelli owns it.

And who has the power to investigate wrongdoing by the President of Panama, according to the Constitution? The National Assembly. Any chance those CD dudes might decide to investigate the allegations against Varela, regarding the use of illegal funds and money laundering? Just maybe. They can hold special hearings, summon witnesses, appoint a special prosecutor, and basically impeach Varela. Whoops.

Setting the table and stacking the deck for the next five years was part of the Martinelli grand strategy. Win or lose the election, he will still control much of the Panamanian government. Whether Varela likes it, or not.

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Fabrega Concedes Election To Blandon - The Newly Elected Mayor of Panama City

PoliticsAfter two days of vote counting, finally the results of the election for the Mayor of Panama City have been made known.

At first, the votes favored José Luis Fabrega, the candidate of the Democratic Revolutionary Party (PRD), but later the trend changed and Jose Isabel Blandon took the lead.

On Tuesday morning Blandon said through his Twitter account he received a call from Fábrega, to congratulate him on the outcome of the election.

Blandon said he spoke with the current Mayor Roxana Mendez to start coordinating the transition. The mayor-elect said he has the full cooperation of Mendez.

Meanwhile in the National Board of District Scrutiny of Panama, Farbrega issued a statement and publicly acknowledged the triumph of the Panameñista (Blandon), who will lead the Capital District starting on 1 July. (Telemetro)

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Allegations Of Vote Buying In Los Santos

PoliticsResidents of the community of Llano de Piedra of Macaracas in the province of Los Santos complained before the office of the Electoral Prosecutor of Las Tablas, about vote buying and marks on the ballots.

The PRD candidate for the position of Deputy in the National Assembly Ovidio Diaz is challenging the candidacy of Tito Afu.

The difference between them is 136 votes. (Critica)

Editor's Comment: This fight is over the seat for 7-1 (Las Tablas). The CD candidate Tito Afu has 14,108 votes, compared to Ovidio Diaz with 13,972. All of the votes have been counted, so this result is considered "official." Now the results are being challenged by the PRD candidate. In this race the Panameñista/PP candidate Carlos Sánchez Frías got spanked, achieving just 3,814 votes (11%).

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What Will Happen To The PRD After Their (Second Straight) Defeat?

PoliticsAfter a second straight electoral defeat (2009 and 2014), the question is: Does the PRD need re-engineering?

The former minister Laurentino "Nito" Cortizo, a member of the Juan Carlos Navarro campaign team, has no doubt there is a need to hold people accountable.

"At this moment it is very difficult for me to answer. Yes, we have to make an analysis of the situation that happened, internal to the party," he said.

Cortizo said he expects there to be a review of what needs to be done internally in the PRD political party.

"It's a delicate situation and I will work for party unity," he added.

He said he will not be a divisive factor, but rather he will serve to unite and correct what needs to be corrected.

Meanwhile, the political analyst Mario Rognoni thinks an assessment is necessary, for which the PRD should summon their best players and to make a review of the failed campaign, to adjust accordingly.

He said the studies will determine who is responsible, and if there should be changes in the strategy adopted by the National Executive Committee (CEN).

The PRD party member and political analyst Rafael Mezquita coincided with Rognoni, saying the party will now have to do an internal balance around the elements that lead to this defeat.

He said the Directors of the PRD should consider whether or not the PRD should listen to the call made by the President-elect, Juan Carlos Varela, to participate in his management of national unity. (Estrella)

The PRD's presidential candidate Juan Carlos Navarro, accepting defeat on Sunday.

Editor's Comment: In other words, Varela needs the National Assembly. There are a total of 71 seats in the National Assembly. The "magic number" is 36. If you have that many votes, you can do practically whatever you want.

Not all of the votes have been counted, and not all of the results are known. There are still 7 seats up for grabs. And the numbers make it interesting.

Right now the CD has 28 seats in the National Assembly, with one more from their allies the MOLIRENA party, giving them 29.

The Panameñistas have just 11 seats, with one more from their allies the Partido Popular party, for a total of 12.

The PRD has 22 seats in the National Assembly. This article about making some sort of an internal analysis within the PRD party really means "should we side with the CD, or with the Panameñistas?"

The PRD will stall for time, to await for the final results for the seven remaining seats. Because if they jump right now - too soon - to the Panameñista side, between the two of them they will only have 34 seats - not enough to control the National Assembly.

If the seven remaining seats all go to the CD, then they will have the 36 seats necessary to control the National Assembly, even without the PRD.

But, if a few more seats go to the CD and a few to the PRD - then the PRD will be in a fantastic negotiating position. The individual PRD Deputies will be able to sell their allegiance to the highest bidder (literally) to guarantee a majority to one side or the other.

Obviously the CD is in a stronger position, because they will need less "turncoats" to achieve a majority, like seven or less, depending on the results of the remaining seats.

The Panameñistas will have to strike a high level deal at the top of the PRD - meaning, with Navarro - to try to create an alliance with the whole PRD voting block in the National Assembly. That's a much harder nut to crack, and the CD can still work to wedge out the votes they need to achieve control.

With regards to the question of "just how screwed up is the PRD" look at it this way. In 1989 when Noriega was in the slow process of being overthrown by the Panamanian people, the PRD candidate at the time - Carlos Duque - got 28% of the vote. He was resoundingly stomped by Guillermo Endara and the "civilista" movement to get rid of Noriega, to end the dictatorship. Endara was sworn in on the night of the US invasion of Panama.

In 1994 Ernesto Perez Balladares achieved 33% of the vote - and won the election.

In 1999 Martin Torrijos achieved 37% of the vote, and lost.

in 2004 Martin Torrijos came back with 47%, and won.

In 2009 Balbina Herrera achieved 37%, and lost.

So Navarro's showing in 2014 with just 28% is the worst performance by a PRD presidential candidate in the post dictatorship era. You can't really blame it on the participation of the four Independent candidates because combined they only received 1.3% of the vote. So sure, some of the votes that went to Genaro Lopez or Juan Jovane would have normally gone to the PRD candidate, but there wasn't enough of them to account for the loss, or the overall bad performance.

Also, the PRD has much more in common with the CD than they do with their historical rivals the Panameñistas. I think a handful of PRD lawmakers will jump ship to the CD voting block (in exchange for a large sum of cash) where they will spend the next five years screwing with Varela and making his life miserable.

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Still Counting "Vote by Vote" For The Mayor's Office in Panama City

PoliticsWith the votes counted from 90% of polling stations, Jose I. Blandon of the Panameñista political party showed a slight lead yesterday over his closest contender, the PRD's Jose Luis Fabrega, to win the position of Mayor of Panama City, the largest in the country.

Last night, the District Election Board reported so far Blandon had obtained 36% of the vote, while 35% went to Fabrega.

But there are still records to scrutinize warned the chairman, Ramon Diaz, minutes before declaring a recess until Tuesday, when it is expected the final results will be released.

After more than 24 straight hours of scrutiny - starting when the polls closed at 4:00 pm on Sunday afternoon - each campaign remained in distress, waiting for the final results to be announced.

At times Fabrega was slightly ahead during the count, but then as new information arrived, Blandon passed him, just barely.

The tension climaxed when supporters for both Blandón and Fábrega berated (the board) at the headquarters of the National Lottery, where the canvassing board is installed.

The electoral delegates intervened and limited access to the auditorium to avoid clashes.

But the mood of the militants did not subside. Within the enclosure one could feel the tension in the air as the results were displayed on a projector.

The current Mayor of Panama City and candidate for the Democratic Change political party Roxana Mendez was at the scene. At 6:00 pm she recognized her defeat, and the virtual triumph of Blandon .

Fabrega also arrived at the scene, it was said, to watch the counting process.

He said there are some records with possible irregularities, which was confirmed by the head of the board.

So they agreed to proclaim a recess until the documents could be rechecked with the results. (Prensa)

Editor's Comment: The Mayor's office of Panama City is called the "mini presidency" - because it's the largest municipality in the Republic of Panama. What's amazing to me is the CD had information on Blandon they never used during the campaign. Of course that must mean he had equally incriminating information he could have used to shoot back, if attacked. A sort of dirty politicians mutual assured destruction pact, as it were.

As of this moment according to the website of the Electoral Tribunal, Blandon has received 131,074 votes (35.70%) compared to Fabrega's 126,750 votes (34.52%). The TE says they have counted 88.27% of the vote - then they declared a recess.

Warning! The PRD controls the Electoral Tribunal. Fabrega is losing, and he's the PRD candidate. Hopefully there's enough safeguards in place to make sure there will be no monkey business in the vote counting process. It just seems a little strange that they would declare a "recess." Funny things can happen during a recess. Why not just keep counting until it's done? Smells fishy.

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Juan Carlos Varela Wins - And Surprises The Hell Out Of Me...

PoliticsBy Don Winner for Panama-Guide.com - I was simply amazed while watching the election results as they were posted to the website of Panama's Electoral Tribunal last night. Once some serious numbers started coming in, Varela pulled out to a lead with about 39%, Arias settled in at second place with 32%, and Navarro in third at 27%. I couldn't believe my eyes, and actually went through a period of denial. Like, this can't be happening...

I was completely convinced that Arias was going to win this election. I mean, Martinelli had an 80% approval rating. He built the Metro. He killed the old "Diablo Rojo" buses and upgraded public transportation in many ways. He tore down Hollywood and rebuilt Curundu. He finished the Cinta Costera phases II and III. Improved security. Set records against drug trafficking. Managed the economy very well, and achieved investment grade status for Panamanian debt bonds. His list of accomplishments was long, and solid.

But I made a serious and fundamental mistake by underestimating the importance of the Panamanian cultural memory of the 21 years of military dictatorship under first Omar Torrijos, and then Manuel Noriega. There is a strong "never again" attitude when it comes to who Panamanians trust with the reins of power, especially over long periods of time. They would rather have a guy like Varela in charge, despite his many faults, than allow Martinelli to build a "de facto" dictatorship.

Clearly, with Ricardo Martinelli's wife on the Arias ticket as his Vice President, a vote for Arias was going to be a vote to continue the administration of Ricardo Martinelli. Arias didn't really have anything new he was going to be doing, rather than simply continuing on with the route already set by Martinelli. So it was, in fact, an attempt for Martinelli to sort of remain in office, after leaving office. And that made people very nervous.

The CD's problem is that they don't have anyone who is clearly enough a leader who can fill Martinelli's shoes. Arias was hand-picked to be his successor, mostly because Martinelli would be able to control him like a puppet. Everyone knew this.

In hindsight the CD would have had a better chance if Martinelli had stayed off of the playing field completely. If his wife was not on the ticket, they might have gotten more votes. If they had a stronger and more charismatic candidate, they might have gotten more votes. Shoulda, woulda, coulda...

So if the Panamanian people refuse to keep the CD in power, then that only leaves a choice between the PRD and the Panameñistas. By simple math, the PRD was the last party to hold office before Martinelli and the CD. The Panameñistas have not been in charge since Mireya Moscoso from 1999 - 2004. So I guess it was simply their turn. Besides, the PRD is split and Navarro is weak, even within his own party. A 27% showing for the PRD in this sort of a race is very, very poor - historically speaking. Normally they can count on 35% or better, even in their sleep. There are that many people with "PRD tattoos" as it were...

So it remains true that no political party has remained in power after having served five years in office, since the end of the military dictatorship. It's gone Panameñistas in 1989, PRD in 1994, Panameñistas in 1999, PRD in 2004, CD in 2009, and now Panameñistas in 2014. Six elections, one every five years over the past 25 years, and not one single "reelection."

Obviously, the Panamanian constitution prohibits any sitting president from seeking reelection. In 1998 the PRD's Ernesto Perez Balladarez tried a National Referendum in an attempt to be able to stay in power, and he was answered by the Panamanian people with a resounding "NO" vote of 2-1 (63% against). And if you add the votes achieved by Navarro to the votes achieved by Varela you get 67% of the Panamanian people voting "against" Arias - and a continuation of Martinelli in power.

Well, I blew that one. At least I had the balls to put my predictions out there, a long time ago. I broke out laughing last night as I watched people who have never taken a solid position on anything suddenly come out to claim "their guy" was going to win - after the results were posted. Hilarious.

So what does this mean for 2019? The Panameñista party will not remain in power. No matter what they do in office, good or bad. Martinelli just proved you can build a bridge to the moon, and the Panamanian voters won't reward your party with another trip to the salad bowl. The CD still won't have anyone with the charisma to replace Martinelli as a viable candidate, and Martinelli himself won't be able to run for reelection until 2024. Also, since the CD just left office, that means it will be the PRD's turn to win. OK - I'm calling a win for the PRD candidate (whoever that might be) in the 2019 Panamanian general election.

Biggest winners? Martinelli. He's now probably a billionaire. He's got five Supreme Court justices sitting on the bench, added to the immunity granted to him by the PARLACEN. So, as an individual he's practically untouchable.

Biggest losers? Mireya Moscoso who abandoned the Panameñistas in favor of the CD. And, I. Roberto Eisenmann who abandoned Varela at the last minute, in favor of Navarro. Now it's going to cost him to regain favor. On your knees, boy...

The CD landed 30 seats in the National Assembly, out of 71. They need just six votes from the one Independent Deputy and the PRD to gain control of Panama's lawmaking body. The Panameñistas only got 12 seats in the National Assembly, and they also picked up the Mayor of Panama City position in the form of Jose Blandon, by a hair.

Varela will also have to contend with a hostile Attorney General, Supreme Court, and National Assembly - which could conceivably investigate him for money laundering. It's going to be an interesting few years, as always.

Thank God for Panamanian Politicians. It's like the gift that keeps on giving, for journalists...

Now the real fun starts. Let's watch the incredibly corrupt Panameñista party return to raping the Panamanian public coffers, just the way Mireya Moscoso did. The only difference is, they won't get anything done. Varela was responsible for the Finmeccanica scandal. He received funds from money laundering, and money that was diverted from the consulates in South Korea and Japan. And - despite all that - he still won. Un-friggin' believable. I still sit here, stunned. I accept the results. I understand how it happened, and why. But wow. Varela is one lucky dude. Talk about being in the right place at the right time...

Copyright 2014 Panama-Guide.com.

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Fake Newspaper Front Pages Circulating in Panama On Election Day

PoliticsFake front pages of the La Prensa newspaper, reporting on the resignation of two presidential candidates, circulated today in some polling stations.

One of the fake front pages carries the headline "José Domingo Arias Quits The Election" and another "Juan Carlos Navarro Quits The Election."

Both bear a ribbon with the phrase "special last minute edition."

This morning the President of the Republic Ricardo Martinelli, before going to the Belisario Porras School to exercise his right to vote, today showed reporters a copy of the fake front page bearing the false heading about Arias, and saying it was a lie.

"These are the things that should not happen in a political campaign. These are things that leave a lot to be said, the people know for whom they intend to vote," he said.

Navarro, from his residence, said the fake headlines are the "the death kicks of a drowning man to discredit La Prensa."

The actual cover of La Prensa today bears no illustration of presidential candidates, and focuses on providing utilitarian information on the election process: polling places, the number of voters, polling hours, among others.

Electoral Prosecutor Will Probe False Headlines

The Electoral Prosecutor Eduardo Peñaloza said on Sunday 4 May he would initiate an investigation into the publication of two false newspaper front pages with the headline, logo, and typography of the newspaper La Prensa, reporting on the supposed resignation of two presidential candidates. (Mi Diario)

Editor's Comment: Cute stunt. Notice there's no fake La Prensa headline claiming that Juan Carlos Varela has resigned from the race. Remember that I. Roberto Eisenmann - the owner of La Prensa - decided at the last minute to drop their support for Varela and they switched horses to the PRD and Navarro. I have no doubt whatsoever this "smear" campaign was produced by some of the Panameñista political party operatives who are trying a sort of "hail Mary" campaign, hoping beyond hope that someone will believe these false headlines, and switch their vote to their candidate. I mean, how screwed up do you have to be in order to think this sort of a stunt would actually work? I guess you can buy a lot of bullshit with laundered money, right? Amazing. Only in Panama...

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Martinelli: It is false that Arias resigned from the election

PoliticsThe President the Republic, Ricardo Martinelli, rejected the last minute smear campaign that appeared at dawn in Panama, where the false cover of a newspaper stated that the candidate for the Democratic Change political party, José Domingo Arias, had resigned from the election.  

This was described by the head of the Panamanian government as a smear campaign, and he urged Panamanians to "not pay any attention to that, and to vote for the candidate of their choice."  

"I'm ready," said Martinelli when he was asked about how it will feel to place the presidential sash on the next president, and he said he would put it on the candidate from the party that wins.

"Whoever wins, hopefully it will be by the votes, will receive the sash. Not only for the president, but also for the mayors and deputies," said Martinelli to the reporters who were camped out in front of his house.

He added that a president governs for all, not for a party, a family or a group of followers.

On the other hand, Martinelli said he has full confidence in the Electoral Tribunal.

However, he thinks the presidential race is very close, so he asked the agency to allow a reasonable time to give the results of who will be the next president of Panama.

According to him, this will help so that if anyone is complaining, and whoever loses will accept that they have become the new leader of the opposition.

The President of the Republic has not yet cast his vote.

He said he will vote after all of the presidential candidates have voted, because "today is a day for them."

He said once his term in office is over he will return to his business activities, the Ricardo Martinelli foundation, and the Democratic Change political party. He said he will remain active in politics, regardless of what happens during the elections today.

"I want to come back to fuck with them, because they've hit me so much, this is what I'm going to enjoy," he said. (Panama America)

Editor's Comment: And, end quote. "I'm going to come back to fuck with those bastards because they've been fucking with me for five years..." You've got to love Martinelli. Politically correct what? Nah, just spout whatever comes to your brain and go with it. Now that he's not the president, he will be free to spend all of his time and money screwing with whoever he wants. Hey, it's nice that he has a hobby.

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Panamanians Vote Today To Select New President, Deputies, Mayors, and Representatives

PoliticsToday Panamanians will vote to select their top officials for the period from 1 July 2014 to 30 June 2019.

The focus is on the Presidency of the Republic. There are seven candidates seeking office; José Domingo Arias, Juan Carlos Navarro, Juan Carlos Varela, Genaro López, Juan Jované, Esteban Rodríguez and Gerardo Barroso.

The 71 Deputies (lawmakers) of the National Assembly, 75 Mayors, and 600 local Representatives serving on municipal city councils will also be elected today across the country.

Polls open at 7:00 am and close at 4:00 pm. Those in line at closing time will be allowed to vote.

Election officials estimate that by about 7:00 pm the trend favoring the next President will be known.

2.4 million people are eligible to vote in an election characterized by the prominence of the president, Ricardo Martinelli, in favor of the government candidate, and the fact that his wife, Marta Martinelli, is the vice presidential candidate in a gamble for continuity in power.

This Friday and Saturday were were anomalies for those browsing the website of the Electoral Tribunal, after it was the victim of a "malicious query traffic" that took the website off line for several hours.

This will not affect the election process because the "unofficial results transmission" system which will be used today is separate from the website, and it has its own security measures, they said.

Yesterday at noon the "dry law" went into effect, banning the sale of liquor, which extends until noon on Monday. All political advertising stopped on Friday.

According to the Electoral Code public protests and political propaganda through spokesmen and through the news media are banned starting at 12:00 midnight on Thursday 1 May before the elections, and this ban extends until 12:00 noon the day following the elections, on 5 May 2014. This ban includes the social networks.

The electoral delegates have been deployed throughout the country.

The public is reminded that no one can carry a firearm, even if they have a permit.

Meanwhile, the Electoral Tribunal has extended the expiration date of cedulas, in order to respect the right to vote. (Prensa)

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Summit between presidential candidates and international observers

PoliticsThe presidential candidates came to the Electoral Tribunal to meet with the mission of 56 international experts and observers from the Organization of American States who will be monitoring the elections in Panama tomorrow.

Among them, the government candidate, José Domingo Arias reiterated his faith in the electoral process and entity that controls the elections.

Arias was accompanied by a spokesman for the Democratic Change political party, Rómulo Roux, and his running mate Marta Martinelli.

The OAS observers held meetings with government and electoral authorities, the representatives of political parties, and members of the civil society. (Panama America)

Editor's Comment: And it all comes down to this. The election is tomorrow, finally, and Thank God. I don't think I can take any more political propaganda, advertising, news articles, and campaigning. This year has taught us that the Electoral Laws in Panama should be changed to include an absolute prohibition on all labor actions, strikes, and protests during the week prior to the election. The strikes and protests by the SUNTRACS, public teachers union, and environmentalists last week were - in fact - politically motivated actions disguised or camouflaged as something else.

But then again, the "end of campaign" rally held by Jose Domingo Arias on the Cinta Costera III blocked traffic and screwed up the Pan American Highway all the way back to Arraijan, so never mind...

I would recommend that the members of the English speaking community of expatriates in Panama go out to "experience" the election first hand, even though you can't vote. There's going to be a polling place somewhere close to where you live, no matter where you live. It's open to the public (obviously) and about the only thing you can't do is go into the actual room where the votes are cast, to see how someone is actually voting. But other than that, feel free to wander around and talk to people.

I've learned that the safest question to ask is "who do you think is going to win?" That way you're not breaching etiquette by asking "who did you vote for" and rather you simply asking for an opinion. Because, they might have voted for Navarro (for example) but they still think Arias is going to win. You can spot the politicians when they come to cast their votes, because they will have a following, and they will be wearing their gang (political party) colors.

Good point. Stay neutral as far as your dress is concerned. Avoid dressing in red, white, and blue (PRD), purple, yellow, and red (Panameñista), cyan and pink (CD), red and white (FAD). Your best bet is a simple white shirt, or something that's obviously not political like a NY Yankees jersey, for example. Unless, of course, you want to express your support for a particular party for whatever reason - but that might keep some people from wanting to talk to you.

Traffic and parking near the polling places is always difficult on election day. Do a "drive by" first to spot the location. Then find a place to legally park that's not too far away, and just walk back. Bring a bottle of water.

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Panama election to test Martinelli's hold on power

PoliticsBy Christine Murray and Elida Moreno (Reuters) - Panamanians vote for a new president on Sunday in the closest contest in a generation with opponents of President Ricardo Martinelli seeking to thwart the business tycoon's attempt to maintain an indirect grip on power.

Three candidates are just a few points apart in a campaign that has focused more on personality than policy.

Panama is a banking and trading hub and its successful canal has helped fuel the fastest economic growth in Latin America in recent years. Economic and social policies are expected to remain broadly in place whichever of the top candidates wins.

Opinion polls show ruling Democratic Change (CD) party candidate Jose Domingo Arias, whose running mate is Martinelli's wife, neck and neck with moderate leftist ex-Panama City mayor Juan Carlos Navarro of the Democratic Revolutionary Party (PRD).

Just behind in third place is the Panameñista Party's Juan Carlos Varela, the vice-president. Varela's support helped Martinelli to get elected in 2009, but the two later fell out.

Martinelli, a supermarket magnate who won the presidency in 2009, is barred by law from running for re-election.

All three candidates pledge to continue large infrastructure projects, such as expanding Panama City's new metro, and social programs like Martinelli's $120 a month payment to Panamanians older than 70 and outside the social security system.

Instead of promising major policy changes, both Navarro and Varela say they are more transparent than Martinelli, whose administration has had to fend off allegations that the public works boom he presided over was tainted by corruption.

"We will be choosing between two different paths, re-election, imposition and backwardness, that is their way, or democracy, liberty and the future," Navarro said recently.

The election is set to be the closest held in the isthmus nation since a U.S. military invasion in 1989 toppled military strongman Manuel Noriega.

The winner, elected by a simple majority on Sunday, will have to manage strong but slowing growth, adhere to a strict new fiscal responsibility law, and oversee the multi-billion dollar expansion of the Panama Canal, which briefly stalled earlier this year in a dispute with the building consortium.

Navarro and Varela both represent older Panamanian parties, while the CD is seen by many as a vehicle for Martinelli.

"People understand that Jose Domingo Arias is essentially there as a front for Martinelli," said Orlando Perez, a Panama expert at Central Michigan University.

Martinelli's wife Marta Linares de Martinelli became the CD candidate for vice president despite the constitution banning anyone closer than a fourth degree blood relation or of second degree "affinity" taking the job.

Martinelli's opponents say this invalidates his wife, but he has rejected the claim. Vowing to keep up his strong public works spending and expand welfare program, the CD aims to be the first party to win re-election in Panama's recent history.

Under Martinelli's watch, Panama's economy has grown at an average rate of 8.2 percent a year. That has narrowed the gap between rich and poor, but many Panamanians still struggle.

"We may have much better infrastructure, the metro, a better economy, but this means nothing if at home we have nothing to eat," said Luis Rodriguez, a 26-year-old nursing student.

Fitch analyst Lucila Broide told Reuters that the election would probably bring policy continuity, but that a contested result could create uncertainty. (Writing by Christine Murray; Editing by Dave Graham and Kieran Murray)

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Jose Domingo Arias' "End of Campaign" Rally Today

PoliticsWith an ample deployment to provide a real feast to the Panamanian people, the Democratic Change political party is all set for the final act (end of campaign celebration) of its presidential candidate, José Domingo Arias, and their main figures who will participate in the general election on 4 May.

Ricardo Martinelli, Panama City Mayor Roxana Mendez, and Vice Presidential Candidate Marta Linares will also speak at the event, which will take place on the Third Phase of the Cinta Costera.

"Today is a great day, accompanied by God and by all Panamanians who want to pursue more changes," Arias said earlier via his Twitter account.

"We're going for more changes for everyone, with our hearts devoted to the Panamanian people," said the presidential candidate of Democratic Change. (Panama America)

Editor's Comment: All of the candidates hold these large "end of campaign" rallies, during which they try to get as many people as possible to turn out, as a show of their strength or support. This morning about eight people turned up for the Juan Jovane rally - and that's about how many votes he's going to get. Of course the CD has about a billion dollars to spend on their campaign, so they paid to have "international" music starts perform at their events. Today the Puerto Rican artist Olga Tañón will be performing. And of course the idea is to have a popular artist performing, so that people will show up to hear the free concert, even if they have no intention of voting for Jose Domingo Arias. Hey, a free t-shirt is a free t-shirt, right?

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CD's Call Center Employee On The Payroll At The MICI

PoliticsAn audio recording that began circulating on Youtube, containing a conversation between the Mayor of Panama City Roxana Mendez and the former Director of the National Immigration Service María Cristina González, began to unravel a web behind the "call center" of the ruling Democratic Change political party, involving use of state funds to pay the salary of Giancarlo Terán, who works in the call center.

On the morning of Tuesday, April 9th​​, Giancarlo Terán, who said he works as the supervisor of one of the "call centers" for the Democratic Change political party, reported on the program "Panama Today" broadcast by Radio Panama, that "the group of gladiators or operators of the call center receive instructions from the Administrator of the Tourism Authority, Solomon Shamah and from María Cristina González, who issues orders at the different call centers."

Teran also said the money used to fund these "call centers" comes from the National Assembly, and the monthly salary is from $500 to $600 for the employees.

Contradictions of Minister Frank De Lima

The Minister of Economy and Finance, and the current spokesman for the Democratic Change political party Frank De Lima, said today, Wednesday, April 30 on the Telemetro morning news broadcast, that the money used to pay the salaries of the employees in the "call centers" does not come from the National Assembly, but rather from the funds of the CD political party.

However Giancarlo Terán appears on the payroll of the Ministry of Trade and Industry where he charges a monthly salary of $1,000 and he was hired as a temporary employee at the start of 2014 as a "Coordinator of Plans and Programs." (Estrella)

Editor's Comment: These allegations against the CD's "call centers" is the best counter-attack the Panameñistas can launch at this point, in an effort to divert attention away from the "Varela-gate" scandal. It's coming down to the wire, and literally anything can happen between now and Sunday. Stay tuned...

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DIJ Experts Analyzing Varela-Gate Financial Documents

PoliticsThe report written by the Justice Department of the United States, and another written by the Financial Analysis Unit of Panama, over doubtful deposits linked to the presidential candidate of the Panameñista political party Juan Carlos Varela, are in the hands of specialists in accounting matters of the Division of Criminal Investigation (DIJ) revealed Panama's Attorney General Ana Belfon.

The head of the Public Ministry (MP) said the report is under the keen eye of the accounting specialists of the Economic Crimes Division of the DIJ, who will determine whether a crime has been committed, and if the process should be sent to the judiciary.

Belfon guaranteed the Public Ministry is respectful of due process, and she would wait until there is a pronouncement made by the experts, according to which, the relevant authorities will determine whether or not a crime has been committed.

"There is no specific term for delivery of the results of this analysis," said Belfon, who reiterated that the procedural terms have nothing to do with whatever the politicians might do or say. "We only involve ourselves with the law," she said.

In the documents produced by the Financial Analysis Unit, which were first delivered to the office of the Attorney General, and then later handed over to the DIJ, there is evidence that the transactions exceeded the salaries of the diplomats appointed by Varela.

Ana Belfon said the Public Ministry cannot execute any sort of action until the specialists determine whether there are unusual deposits, and whether or not crimes were committed.

"When there is evidence, due process will be followed," she said.

Recently, the Miami based newspaper Diario Las Americas published several documents showing that the funds received in the banking accounts of the Don James Foundation in Panama and abroad exceed the financial profile of the wife, mother and minor children of Jaime Lasso Castillo.

The prosecutor said the Financial Analysis Unit, attached to the National Security Council, has the mission of sounding the alarm and investigating voluminous deposits, anything undeclared over $10,000 and of dubious origin. (Panama America)

Editor's Comment: This is a normal step for the prosecutors of the Public Ministry. They are legal experts, lawyers, and prosecutors - not accountants, bankers, or money launderers. They rely on the expertise of the accountants and technical experts hired by the DIJ who know how to read these things, follow a trail of deposits, back-track the accounts and tie them together with companies, that sort of thing. The prosecutors always to this when they need an expert in whatever field, depending on the details of the case. And now just four days before the election on Sunday, the drip, drip, drip of this story is winding down. If the CD and Martinelli had any more heavy artillery to fire off, they would have done it by now.

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Martinelli's Replacement Will Make Many Important Appointments To Key Government Positions

PoliticsThe Electoral Tribunal judge Eduardo Valdés Escoffery, whose term in office ends in December, said he will not seek to remain in office. "Not really. I've given my share, so I think that's enough," he said.

He said his replacement will have to meet the legal formalities, after passing through a scrutiny of his democratic convictions and administrative capacity.

He said to be a judge on the Electoral Tribunal it's not enough to just be a lawyer, but you also have to be in tune with the electoral requirement.

His replacement will be appointed by the next President of the Republic.

Whoever is elected on Sunday to replace Ricardo Martinelli will also have the opportunity to appoint the next Attorney General, as well as the Prosecutor for Administration, four new judges on the Supreme Court, the Electoral Prosecutor, six Directors to the Board of the Panama Canal, and the Superintendents of Banking and the Stock Market.

The Dates

Before the end of this year, Ricardo Martinelli's successor must decide who will replace Ana Belfon and Oscar Ceville, the Attorney General and the Prosecutor of Administration, respectively. Both will remain in office until 31 December 2014.

The Prosecutors - and their alternates - will take office on 2 January 2015 and will remain in office for a period of ten years.

Same happens with the Superintendents of the Stock Market and Banking, whose terms end on 31 December.

In the Supreme Court, the four judges appointed during the PRD administration of Martin Torrijos will end their terms in office.

Harley Mitchell and Victor Benavides leave office on December 31, 2015.

Jerónimo Mejía and Oyden Ortega leave office on December 31, 2017.

The presidential candidate of the ruling Democratic Change political party José Domingo Arias said yesterday if he wins the election "with the approach of the new policy" he would make "straight" decisions and "with people who share my vision of building the country."

Juan Carlos Navarro and Juan Carlos Varela, opposition candidates have said they will carry out consultations for appointments. (Prensa)

Editor's Comment: The La Prensa newspaper is conducting a little bit of subliminal scare tactics here. The invisible lines in this article say "don't forget, that if you reelect the CD they will have appointed all nine judges on the Supreme Court, as well as the Attorney General, and other important figures in the government." This is exactly why political power in Panama has shifted back and forth every five years from the Panameñistas (Endara) to the PRD (Balladares) back to the Panameñistas (Moscoso) then to the PRD again (Torrijos) and finally to the CD (Matinelli). It's an entirely new phenomenon for Panama's version of their post-dictatorship democracy to be staring at the possibility of a "reelection" of sorts. They almost don't know what to do, or how to act, or think. This is compounded by a relatively close three way race where the winner could slip into office with less than 40% of the vote. But remember, that Martinelli has about an 80% approval rating, so if Arias wins it will be a clear "continuation" vote - the people want more of the same that's been going on for the past five years.

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Liberals: The Complaints Against Juan Carlos Varela Can Jeopardize Continued Progress

PoliticsThe complaints of alleged money laundering, involving links to the presidential candidate of the Panameñista political party Juan Carlos Varela, caused alarm and concern among members of the International Liberal movement, because they "may jeopardize the prospects for continued progress" of the country.

They expressed their sentiments by adopting Resolution #59.

During the recent International Liberal Congress held in Rotterdam, participants analyzed the state of human rights, free and fair elections, multiparty democracy, social justice, tolerance, free market economy, free trade, and environmental sustainability in the countries of the world.

"The Congress expresses its deep concern before the elections (in Panama) that the allegations of corruption - as in the case of the Vice President (Juan Carlos) Varela - can jeopardize the prospects for continued progress," says the document in the section of the resolution dedicated to Panama.

This report refers to the complaint made ​​by the Miami based Diario Las Americas newspaper, linked the presidential candidate of the Panameñista political party Juan Carlos Varela to a money laundering network, whose resources were used to finance part of his campaign.

According to the investigative report, the funds from money laundering came from illegal Internet gambling operations in the United States, but the money came from more than 26 bank accounts opened in Panama that were used to finance Varela's presidential campaign.

The U.S. newspaper revealed funds from two members of the Panamanian diplomatic corps, appointed by Varela when he was the Chancellor of the Republic, were also deposited to those accounts.

Jaime Lasso del Castillo is the former Consul in South Korea, and Alberto Aristides Arosemena Medina is the former Consul in Kobe, Japan.

Michelle Lasso, the daughter of former diplomat in South Korea, was also a signatory of the accounts, which were closed after her arrest in Florida.

But beyond the bank accounts, there is also a receipt certifying the down payment on a Bertram yacht, model 630, with hull number 5051, revealing Michelle Lasso made the first payment of $175,000 for Varela's luxury pleasure craft.

Discrimination

The organization, which brings together the liberal political parties, also expressed alarm "over the document 'National Commitment for Life and Family' because it discriminates against minorities and people with different orientation and lifestyle. Liberal International believes the prosperity of Panama can only be guaranteed through individual freedom and civil liberties."

The resolution refers to the signing of this document by the presidential candidates during a ceremony held last April 16 at the facilities of the Universidad Santa Maria la Antigua (USMA).

The paper also gives a nod to government administration of President Ricardo Martinelli, and mainly emphasizes the democratic and economic development .

"The Liberal International welcomes Panama's achievements in recent years, in democratic stability and economic progress. The Congress notes the bold decision of the authorities to participate in crucial projects that primarily benefit the people of Panama, but which also provide better conditions for trade and global development."

Organization

The Liberal International is an umbrella organization of liberal parties in the world. It was founded in Oxford in 1947 and has become an important network to strengthen liberal democracy in the world.

Among its principles is to foster the growth of a free society based on personal liberty, personal responsibility, and social justice, and to provide the means for cooperation and exchange of information among members of the organization, and between men and women of all countries that accept its principles.

Among the most important figures who participated in the 59 th Congress, held in Rotterdam, are Ben Verwaayen, the former Director General of Alcatel- Lucent , a multinational company based in Paris specializing in telecommunications; Sigmundur David Gunnlaugsson, the Icelandic Prime Minister and leader of the Progressive Party; the Prime Minister of the Netherlands Mark Rutte; Roxana Baldetti , vice president of the Republic of Guatemala; the Commissioner of the European Union for Trade, Karel de Gucht, and Ricardo Lopez Murphy, president of Liberal Network of Latin America.

Arturo González Baso, of the Nationalist Republican Liberal Movement (MOLIRENA) political party, shares the concern of the organization and encourages Varela to respond to the questions that are being asked in this case.

"The situation of Varela and alleged links to money laundering is a concern," he said. (Panama America)

Editor's Comment: Yeah, who cares? I guess the guys at the Liberal International Congress are one of the few outside organizations who are paying any attention at all to the election process in Panama. What matters most are the Panamanian voters, and of course the pro-Martinelli Panama America newspaper continues to beat the daily drum on the "Varela Gate" scandal, created by Martinelli himself by leaking the documents from the Financial Analysis Unit to the Miami based Diario Las Americas newspaper. They have caused so much damage - crippling Varela as a viable candidate - the point where he was abandoned by an important and long standing supporter I. Roberto Eisenmann, the owner of the La Prensa newspaper. As a result, Eisenmann switched his support to the PRD candidate Juan Carlos Navarro, a stunning turn of events for those who follow Panamanian politics closely.

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Electoral Tribunal Assumes Operational Control of Panama's Public Forces

PoliticsThe Electoral Tribunal performed a ceremony on Monday, 28 April 2014, to accept the operational control of the "Public Forces" as established in the Electoral Code.

According to Article 224, six days before Election Day, and until the proclamation of a new president, the Executive Branch shall give operational control of all Public Forces to the Electoral Tribunal, for the sole purposes of guaranteeing freedom, honesty and efficiency of the elections.

During his speech, the Minister of Security Jose Raul Mulino, besides putting the Electoral Tribunal in command of the security sectors, asked each Panamanian to come out to vote. And he asked the Electoral Tribunal, responsible for organizing and executing the election, to be responsible when counting the votes, and to respect the popular will of the Panamanian people.

Electoral Tribunal magistrate Erasmo Pinilla said they are willing to fight to the death to make sure freedom reigns, and he stressed peace as a national desire.  

He added they have been meticulously designing strategies for the development of the election, so that on 4 May peace may confront one of mankind's strongest ambitions, to obtain power.

Pinilla invited the members of the various security agencies to assume the work of 4 May because they will no longer be a docile force to serve the ambitions of power.  

The ceremony was performed in the presence of various authorities of the Ministry of Security, the Electoral Tribunal, and various components of the security forces. (Estrella)

Editor's Comment: Interesting choice of words by both Mulino and Pinilla. Mulino said "don't screw up when counting the votes" (and try to steal the election for the PRD), and Pinilla told the cops "you're no longer Martinelli's puppets." If there is some sort of problem on election day (unlikely) then it will be very interesting indeed to see what happens. Which way will the various units split? How many of them will take orders from Pinilla - if the shit hits the fan? It's easy to follow the plan when it's smooth sailing. That might change dramatically if it looks like the Electoral Tribunal goes off the rails. And, that's a possibility. Remember, this will be a close election. And, the PRD owns the TE. And, both the PRD and the TE want the CD out of power. Stranger things have happened. Panama is no stranger to coups and power grabs.

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What? Eisenmann Is Backing Navarro? Un-Friggin-Believable...

PoliticsThe presidential candidate of the Democratic Revolutionary Party (PRD), Juan Carlos Navarro signed a document saying he accepts the support of the "New Republic" movement, made of up politicians and businessmen.

This document consists of more than seven points to be met by Navarro, including the convening of a Constituent Assembly for a new constitution that complies with the principles and values ​of the country.

He also agreed to appoint a Comptroller General, Attorney General, and Supreme Court judges who are independent citizens without a partisan political affiliation, among other things.

According to Navarro, the demands made by this group are the same as the vision of this party, however, this decision has been criticized by some, including the Minister of the Presidency, Roberto Henriquez who says the announcement made by the "five cats of the New Republic" evidence the desperation of the traditional economic powers to regain political power. (Panama America)

Editor's Comment: What? I. Roberto Eisenmann - the owner of La Prensa - is abandoning the Panameñista candidate Juan Carlos Varela? Really? It literally boggles the mind. They understand that Martinelli has successfully thrown a large stone weight around Varela's neck with these "Varela Gate" accusations, the links to money laundering, and the diversion of the funds from the Consulates in South Korea and Japan. Congratulations to them, they finally figured out what I've been saying now for almost three years - Varela will lose the election, and wind up in third place. Not giving a rat fuck about loyalty, they switched their allegiance at the last minute to the PRD and Navarro.

Let me say that again. I. Roberto Eisenmann - the owner of the La Prensa newspaper - is supporting a presidential candidate from the PRD. The same PRD of Omar Torrijos and Manuel Noriega. As someone who lived through the last few years of the military dictatorship and the Just Cause invasion, I find this to be incredible. Unbelievable. A true "holy shit" moment. Wow.

And Henriquez hit the nail right on the head. Eisenmann and his crew are prepared to do anything to get Martinelli (Arias) out of office. I mean, anything. Wow. It boggles the mind. No matter how many times they spit, they'll never be able to get that taste out of their mouths...

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La Prensa Final Poll Indicates Arias Will Win Panama Presidential Election

PoliticsThe final poll conducted for this newspaper (La Prensa) shows voters favor the candidate for the Democratic Change political party José Domingo Arias.

Arias received 37.5% in the poll, representing a 6% lead over the PRD's Juan Carlos Varela, and an 11% lead over the Panameñista candidate Juan Carlos Varela.

However, there are factors that prevent anticipating what will happen on May 4.

12.4% of respondents said they have not yet made up their minds, and the advantage held by Arias over the second place candidate is not large enough to ensure victory in the event that a majority within the block of undecided voters tilt in favor of the PRD candidate.

Another 13.3% of participants in this poll said they might change their mind and vote for someone else on election day.

This "soft" vote - added to the undecided, could introduce key changes to the indications today, and the end result on election day.

In this poll 22% indicated they are afraid to reveal the name of their candidate of choice, suggesting - but not clearly stating or quantifying - that respondents could have masked their true intentions.

Finally, the trend shows an upward direction, although marginal, for the candidacy of Juan Carlos Varela, who rose 1.1 point compared to March.

This poll was conducted by the company Quantix Panama, of 2,930 people between 19 and 22 April 2014, with a margin of error of 1.81 percentage points. (Prensa)

Editor's Comment: This reminds me of election night in the US in 2012. Although all of the polls indicated Obama was going to win the key "swing" states, Republican "analysts" and "political commentators" on Fox News continuously ripped apart the polling data, trying to find a way for Romney to win. Of course, they were wrong. The polls don't lie, contain magic, or mislead. They are what they are, even if they indicate your guy is going to get his ass kicked.

In this case, the La Prensa newspaper strongly backs the candidacy of the Panameñista party, Juan Carlos Varela. And this last poll indicates (as I have been predicting since August 2011) that Varela will finish this election in third place. However La Prensa paid for this poll to be conducted, and they are obligated to publish the results, even though the results clearly indicate that Juan Carlos Varela is going to have third place all to himself.

So what's a ethically bankrupt newspaper to do? Well, cook the books, that's what! See here? There's undecided voters! And voters who might change the minds! And voters who are afraid to say who they are really going to vote for! Varela could still win!

No, he cant. The margin of error for this poll is 1.8% - which is really pretty small. The results of this poll basically mirror exactly the results obtained by Dichter & Neira for TVN last week. So, now that it's coming down to the wire, Quantix did a good poll, got a relatively big sample (for Panama), and they are predicting a win for Arias.

You can ignore the fact that the La Prensa journalist who wrote this article really (really) wants Varela to win.

It should be pointed out that Dichter & Neira have correctly predicted the winner of every Panamanian election since 1994. That's 20 years of getting it right. I have more faith in their polling data than anyone else's.

The only outlier is the IPSOS poll, conducted for Telemetro, indicating the PRD candidate Juan Carlos Varela now has a very slight 0.3% lead over Jose Domingo Arias. That's laughable. Telemetro is a PRD lapdog. They support Navarro, the same way La Prensa supports Varela. This tells me the IPSOS data is skewed and unreliable. Their results do not reflect the same trends and tendencies as both the Quantix and Dichter & Neira polling data.

I stand by my prediction. Arias will win. Navarro will get second place. Varela will finish in third. And I've been predicting these results for a long, long time. I also thing in the final voting Arias will end up with about five to ten more percentage points, above whatever the last poll says. There will be some last minute moves, but it won't be enough to change the final results.

The last poll to be released will be the Dichter & Neira results for the third week of April, conducted for TVN. Those results will come out tonight.

After that, all polling will cease. According to Panamanian Election Law, there will be no more polling results released between today and the election, now just ten days away. Today is the last day any Panamanian news media outlet can legally release any polling data. Now, watch Martinelli try to get new polling results released in Miami or something. Wouldn't put it past him...

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Varela Ignored Article 5 of the "Ethics Pact" He Signed

PoliticsBy Don Winner for Panama-Guide.com - At the start of the electoral cycle, now more than a year ago, I attended an event at the Hotel El Panama where Juan Carlos Varela and other Panamanian politicians signed an "Ethics Pact" in front of the press, to great (artificially orchestrated) fanfare.

The recent revelations published in the Miami based newspaper Diario Las Americas lays bare the millions of dollars Juan Carlos Varela and his campaign received, from money illegally gathered through online gambling operations in the United States, and laundered through offshore bank accounts in the Caribbean and Panama.

Article 5 of the Ethics Pact says - the political parties and candidates promise to "Monitor the legitimate and legal source of funds or donations, from natural or legal persons, for the benefit of political parties and candidates to prevent patronage. Donations and expenditures must be publicly accessible through publication in the newspapers, on radio, television and the Internet, preferably before the election, and not later than sixty days after them."

This is the promise Juan Carlos Varela signed as the President of the Panameñista political party, as well as the presidential candidate for that party. Highlight the part about "legitimate and legal source of funds or donations..." When this pact was written, the fear was that drug traffickers with suitcases full of money would make massive donations to politicians in order to get "their guy" elected, to make trafficking drugs easier. Little did they know at the time Juan Carlos Varela was already receiving millions of dollars of ill-gotten booty - the source being illegal online gambling in the United States. The person who funneled the money to him was convicted of money laundering and deported from the United States.

I knew when I was watching the line of politicians sign this piece of paper that it wasn't worth the paper it's written on. Varela is taking money from money launderers, and he was probably cashing checks on the day he was signing the "ethics pact." Navarro is taking money from the communist leaders of Venezuela. And Arias has the backing of Ricardo Martinelli - who has been taking money from the Panamanian people.

Ethics pact? Who do these people think they're fooling. They have no ethics. None. It's the one thing they all have as a common denominator - no ethics. I just wish they would all drop the false pretenses.

Copyright 2014 Panama-Guide.com.

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Panameñista Party Splits - Some Now Attacking Varela

PoliticsAlejandro Perez, a member of the Panameñista political party, provided additional details during an interview this morning on Telemetro about the people who have been convicted for money laundering in the United States, information reported by the Miami based Diario Las Americas newspaper last Sunday.

Perez said what matters most is "his Panameñista party," while displaying documents that supposedly prove laundered money from illegal online gambling went into the accounts of the presidential campaign of their party's candidate, Juan Carlos Varela.

Meanwhile, the Panameñista National Assembly Deputy Luis Eduardo Quirós said everything published in the Diario Las Americas, linking the presidential candidate Juan Carlos Varela to money laundering, is part of the "political heat in these moments, amid the political campaign, and what they want to do is hurt Varela because he is awaking sympathies." (Estrella)

Editor's Comment: The Panameñista party is currently split down the middle. The former president Mireya Moscoso came out a few weeks ago to actively support the CD candidate Jose Domingo Arias. Obviously this guy Alejandro Perez is throwing his weight behind the branch of the Panameñista party that is against Juan Carlos Varela which supports the CD. And the Deputy Luis Eduardo Quirós is solidly in the Varela camp, sticking to the story of "it's all just politically motivated bullshit" line (which no one is buying).

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Presidential Debate: Varela Dodged Questions And Blamed Arias For "Varela Gate"

PoliticsGerardo Barroso, the Independent presidential candidate broke the rules of the debate and demanded an explanation from Juan Carlos Varela over the recent revelations linking him to money laundering network.

However, the presidential candidate from the Panameñista political party said it was nothing more than a political attack, and he refused to give an explanation.

Displaying documents published by the Miami based newspaper Diario Las Americas, Barroso demanded that Varela "explain."

Varela responded by saying the (reports in) the Diario Las Americas were false, and instead of giving an explaination he said Barroso was being paid by the campaign of the ruling Cambio Democratico political party to attack him.

Varela once again avoided giving an explanation, and he decided to defend himself by attacking the government candidate José Domingo Arias, which altered the spirit of debate.

The Independent candidate was interrupted, however nothing was done when Varela dodged the question and defended himself by attacking José Domingo Arias. (Panama America)

Editor's Comment: When you're guilty and caught red handed - there's really not all that much you can do to "defend" yourself. Varela can't come out in the middle of a presidential debate and admit that his campaign accepted millions of dollars of illegal money, the proceeds of illegal online gambling in the United States, that was laundered through bank accounts in the Caribbean and Panama and then used in his presidential campaign. Nope, that's a non-starter. So Varela's got nothing, and all he can do is ignore the question, and attack somewhere else in an attempt to divert attention from the gorilla in the room. It's not going to be working very well for him, and I suspect there will be charges against him and his crew once the election is over. Both in Panama and in the United States.

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Pinilla - "Someone Is Planning A Fraud"

PoliticsStrong words from the President of the Electoral Tribunal, Erasmo Pinilla, who has been the target of questions over an alleged lack of a college degree, and his inability to practice law.

"Someone is planning a fraud," he said this morning on Telemetro, without pointing directly to any person to or group, but he did make an appeal to analyze who is behind those allegations, which are being made just a few days before a national election.

"They want to put the credibility of the Electoral Tribunal in question," he said.

In response to the questions being raised with the University of Panama , the administrative office of the Faculty of Law issued a memo saying that after a two day search, they could not find a transcript in the name of "Erasmo Pinilla."

Pinilla clarified he was baptized with the name of Manuel Erasmo Pinilla Castillero, and that he used his name to enroll in the University of Panama, and as stated in their university documents, he subsequently changed his name to Erasmo Pinilla Castillero, "my father's name was Erasmo and I have always been very proud of him," he said.

The judge lamented that the university authorities did not make a search of their records using his ID (cedula) number.

He said he was sure everything will be cleared up, "and I have no doubt that this is going to settle the matter, this issue which in the meantime is distracting the public opinion from other things, a political tactic of unscrupulous people, to distract public opinion from serious issues by creating a scandal where there is none." (Telemetro)

Editor's Comment: The University of Panama has since issued a statement saying they have verified Pinilla's diploma, and that he did in fact graduate from the University of Panama with a law degree. More smoke and mirrors from the CD campaign. At this point I wouldn't put anything past these guys. They want the "win" no matter what.

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Varela Says "They Invent Websites To Attack Me"

PoliticsA video broadcast by TVN, the National Television of Panama, reveals statements made by the presidential candidate for the opposition Panameñista political party Juan Carlos Varela, rejecting the allegations being made against him by a supposed website "created in the United States."

Varela says the accusations are part of a campaign of false news being conducted by the campaign of the candidate of the ruling Cambio Democratico political party José Domingo Arias to attack him.

And he clarifies, that it is not the Diario Las Americas, according to him "it is a website with the name 'Diario del Las Americas' that is the same as others that have been created in places such as Costa Rica with false news articles, for the local media to pick up."

The candidate said they "invent portals" in order to create a viral effect and to cause harm to him as a candidate for president of Panama.

The Panamanian presidential candidate also recalled a case from 2012 involving the daughter of a person close to him, identified as Jaime Lasso.

He said Lasso's daughter erred in the United States, faced justice, and cooperated with (the investigation).

He also denies the accusations regarding the Don James Foundation, through which, allegedly an account was opened to channel bribes.

"This is a typical case of how you hide behind a website," said Varela, in reference to the articles published in the website of the "Diario de Las Americas."

Varela criticized the electoral prosecutor, Eduardo Penaloza was not ruling on these "smear campaigns."

Varela said he has full confidence in the Electoral Tribunal, and he knows the CD is making these smear campaigns because they know they will lose the election.

Response:

The "Diario Las Americas" is a website, whose platform represents the Diario Las Americas newspaper - print edition - circulated in South Florida in the United States, 365 days a year.

The complaint , like any other newsworthy story, was collected using documents obtained by the Diario Las Americas and those reflected in a lawsuit filed in a court of Albany, New York.

Philipe Gurian of Boca Ratón and Michelle Lasso of Delray Beach - both cities in South Florida - were charged with conspiracy to launder "monetary instruments."

The petition from the prosecutor included a request of 20 years in prison for both, as stated in the document signed by Richard S. Hartunian. (Diario Las Americas)

Editor's Comment: So, in Panama Varela is trying to saw the article against him was published on a bullshit little website named "Diario de las Americas" which is not the same as the legitimate Miami based Spanish language newspaper "Diario Las Americas." Nope, wrong there. The fact of the matter is that Varela is currently taking both barrels to the chest, and so far he apparently hasn't even figured out where the fire is coming from.

The Diario Las Americas is, in fact, the oldest Spanish language newspaper in Florida, and maybe even in the United States. It is owned by a group of Venezuelan businessmen who are friends of Martinelli, and mutual enemies of Venezuela's president Maduro.

But for Varela to allege that these stories are being published by some little bullshit invented website is - simply stupid. They are doing anything and everything they can to try to put out this growing fire, and a lot of their efforts are going to come back on them. So far they have been focusing on attacking the messenger, rather than dealing with the crux of the issue - the fact that his campaign apparently received millions of dollars in illegal, laundered money. Whoops...

And here's the next line for the CD campaign: "Geez, with all of that laundered money, you would think he could have at least paid his workers minimum wage..."

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