Panama Guide

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Monday, February 08 2010 @ 11:06 PM EST

Weather, Wind and Rain

Panama gets a lot of rain. There's nothing like a full-blown Panamanian wet-season downpour, and sometimes the sheer volume of water produced can be astounding. The rainfall powers the Panama Canal, and huge ocean-going vessels are actually floating on the fresh rainwater from the Chagres River as they pass from Atlantic to Pacific through Gatun Lake. Localized flooding is common during the rainy season and sometimes dry season can extend and become drought. Local weather in Panama can be effected by the El Niño and La Niña phenomenons. In the rainy season you can usually expect bright and sunny mornings, temperatures in the mid 80's, light breezes and afternoon thundershowers. In the dry season it's the same thing, except without the rain. This section of Panama-Guide.com is a collection of everything related to the weather, weather related news and events, severe and noteworthy storms, radars, and weather related links. If you require additional information about this or any other category of information regarding the Republic of Panama please take advantage of our powerful in-house search engine. And if you still can't find what you're looking for try sending in a request for information. If you like what you see please consider recommending Panama-Guide.com to your friends. Our dedicated readers make us the #1 English Language Website about the Republic of Panama. Salud.
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70% of Electrical Power From Thermal Plants in Panama

Weather70% of the electrical energy that is consuming the country comes from thermal generation plants, and the remaining 30% from hydropower. The National Dispatch Center (CND), which administers the system, is using as much energy as possible from the thermal power plants to conserve water in the reservoirs, said a source. Based on records from the CND, the Fortuna reservoir remains at 1,044.31 meters above sea level, while the Bayano is at 59.93 meters above sea level. For analysts, the driest months are March, April and May, during which time the water now being held in reserve can be used to generate power. (Source: La Prensa)

Editor's Comment: This is a good plan. The power generated by the "thermal" plants, those that burn fossil fuels to generate power, is more expensive. However, there is now a significant "El Niño" ENSO condition in effect which generally results in significantly less rainfall in Panama than normal. You can always import more bunker fuel to burn in the thermal plants, but once the water has left the reservoirs it only gets back in there when it rains. It might cost more to burn the fuel to generate electricity, but that's still better than not being able to generate enough power to meet demand and having to manage rolling black outs or electricity rationing. Fron the NOAA Climate Prediction Center: "Most models indicate that SST anomalies in the Niño-3.4 region will begin to decrease in early 2010, and that El Niño will persist through April-May-June 2010." El Niño causes greatly increased amounts of rainfall for places like Peru, Ecuador, and Northern Brazil - so while we're looking at drought they are looking at flooding and mudslides. No matter what happens, by June or July the Inter Tropical Convergence Zone will move back over our heads to the North and the rains will return to Panama, maybe two months later than normal.

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Water Rationing Possible Due To "El Niño" in Panama

Weather
Rodrigo Barragán - Director of Operations for Panama's National Institute of Aqueducts and Sewers (IDAAN)
Rodrigo Barragán - Director of Operations for Panama's National Institute of Aqueducts and Sewers (IDAAN)
Even though Panama's National Institute of Aqueducts and Sewers (IDAAN) has been taking measures to conserve water since last December, concerns over the water supply continue due to the ongoing ENSO phenomenon of "El Niño" which is expected to last until next June, said Rodrigo Barragán on the TVN Channel 2 news broadcast this morning. He said the water supplies in Panama city depend on Alajuela Lake which was at its maximum capacity in December at the start of the dry season, but which has since shown a marked decline. Barragán, called on the public to save water and said people should "only use what is necessary to avoid rationing." He said in 2007 there was a similar situation but thanks to the cooperation of the public the IDAAN did not have to ration water. Barragán said that if they do eventually have to ration water, the cuts will be planned, programmed, and done by sectors, and noted that "in truth I hope it's something that we will not have to do, I don't like the idea." (Source: TVN Noticias)   
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TSUNAMI MESSAGE NUMBER 2

WeatherNWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI 2254 UTC TUE JAN 12 2010. THIS MESSAGE APPLIES TO COUNTRIES WITHIN AND BORDERING THE CARIBBEAN SEA...EXCEPT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. ... A LOCAL TSUNAMI WATCH IS IN EFFECT ... A TSUNAMI WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR HAITI / CUBA / BAHAMAS / DOMINICAN REP. FOR OTHER AREAS OF THE CARIBBEAN COVERED BY THIS MESSAGE...IT IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY AT THIS TIME. THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE. AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS ORIGIN TIME - 2153Z 12 JAN 2010 COORDINATES - 18.5 NORTH 72.5 WEST LOCATION - HAITI REGION MAGNITUDE - 7.1 NOTE: MAGNITUDE IS REDUCED FROM 7.3 TO 7.1

THERE ARE NO SEA LEVEL READINGS YET FOR THIS EVENT. READINGS FROM THE NEAREST GAUGES SHOULD BE RECEIVED WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR.

EVALUATION - A DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT DOES NOT EXIST BASED ON HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA. HOWEVER - THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF A LOCAL TSUNAMI THAT COULD AFFECT COASTS LOCATED USUALLY NO MORE THAN A HUNDRED KILOMETERS FROM THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES FOR THE REGION NEAR THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS POSSIBILITY. AREAS FURTHER FROM THE EPICENTER COULD EXPERIENCE SMALL SEA LEVEL CHANGES AND STRONG OR UNUSUAL COASTAL CURRENTS.

ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL TIMES AT FORECAST POINTS WITHIN THE WARNING AND WATCH AREAS ARE GIVEN BELOW. ACTUAL ARRIVAL TIMES MAY DIFFER AND THE INITIAL WAVE MAY NOT BE THE LARGEST. A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES AND THE TIME BETWEEN SUCCESSIVE WAVES CAN BE FIVE MINUTES TO ONE HOUR.

LOCATION FORECAST POINT COORDINATES ARRIVAL TIME HAITI JEREMIE 18.6N 74.1W 2215Z 12 JAN PORT-AU-PRINCE 18.5N 72.4W 2228Z 12 JAN CAP-HAITEN 19.8N 72.2W 2246Z 12 JAN CUBA BARACOA 20.4N 74.5W 2240Z 12 JAN BAHAMAS GREAT INAGUA 20.9N 73.7W 2237Z 12 JAN DOMINICAN REP PUERTO PLATA 19.8N 70.7W 2256Z 12 JAN SANTO DOMINGO 18.5N 69.9W 2328Z 12 JAN

ADDITIONAL BULLETINS WILL BE ISSUED BY THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER FOR THIS EVENT AS MORE INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.   

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Tsunami Alert Issued After Quake Rocks Haiti

WeatherA quake measuring 7.0 on the moment magnitude scale rocked the impoverished Caribbean nation of Haiti Tuesday causing panic as it struck, officials and AFP witnesses said. A tsunami alert was immediately issued for the Caribbean region after the earthquake struck at 2153 GMT. An AFP correspondent said the ground shook for more than a minute. The US Geological Survey said the powerful quake was initially measured at 7.3 on the scale and struck 16 kilometers (ten miles) from the capital Port-Au-Prince, and 27 kilometers (17 miles) from Petionville. An AFP correspondent in Petionville said one three-story building was toppled, and a tractor was already at the scene trying to dig out victims as people fled onto the streets in panic. The up-scale area is home to many foreign diplomats and members of a major United Nations mission to the country. The temblor struck at a depth of 10 kilometers (6.2 miles), the USGS said. A tsunami warning was in place for Haiti, Cuba, the Bahamas and the Dominican Republic, with the first waves predicted to hit Haiti shortly. Already the poorest nation in the Americas, Haiti has been hit by a series of disasters recently and was battered by hurricanes in 2008. The country was also gripped by a tense political standoff in April 2008 amid riots over skyrocketing food prices. Seventy percent of Haiti's population lives on less than two US dollars per day and half of its 8.5 million people are unemployed. According to official figures, food insecurity already affects more than a quarter of Haiti's population, some 1.9 million people, with women and children the worst affected. The Food and Agriculture Organization has designated Haiti as one of the world's most economically vulnerable countries. The WFP serves one meal a day to more than 500,000 Haitian schoolchildren, providing them with what is often their only meal of the day. The organisation also feeds 100,000 women who are pregnant or breastfeeding and 50,000 children under the age of five. Since mid-2004, the Brazilian-led MINUSTAH has been keeping the peace in the impoverished Caribbean island nation.

Editor's Comment: There's a direct line of sight from the location of this strong earthquake, which happened at 2153 GMT (16:53 local Panama). Heads Up!



   

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Stationary Cold Front Causing Problems in Bocas, Chiriqui, and Colon

Weather The strengthening of a cold front, which remains stationary over Costa Rica, has caused several problems in the provinces of Bocas del Toro, Chiriquí and Colón. It has been raining constantly, accompanied by strong winds. Arturo Alvarado, the Director of the National System of Civil Protection, confirmed he has declared a "green alert" - which means they are monitoring the situation at several locations. So there the level of the Caldera river has risen, along the coast waves as high as 12 feet have been reported, with sustained winds of 25 kilometers per hour. Alvarado reported that a 16 year old is missing in the Teribe river in Bocas del Toro. In the province of Colón an abandoned ship broke loose from its anchor and ran aground in front of the Parque de la Juventud near 1st Street in the city of Colón. Due to the intensity of the winds, the Flower Fair in Boquete had to be shut down on Monday evening. According to the report, the flow of the Caldera river rose two meters. The cold front will remain in place for about 24 hours more, so stay alert. Officials in the area of Talamanca in Costa Rica, the headwaters of the Sixaola river, remain at a yellow alert. This cold front is stationary over Costa Rica, where it has also caused several problems. (Source: Kathyria Caicedo for Telemetro Reporta)   
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Apparently Both El Niño and La Niña Cause Drought in Panama

WeatherBy DON WINNER for Panama-Guide.com - I found this scholarly study of the impact and effects of both El Niño and La Niña in Panama. In a nutshell, apparently both of them cause less than normal rainfall. I know there was much less than normal rainfall in the 2007-2008 incident, and at that time it was a La Niña ENSO condition in effect, so there you go. Here's the complete report:

EL NIÑO AND LA NIÑA : The Influence of El Niño and La Niña In Panama. Panama’s climate presents two distinct seasons, a rainy season (mid-April to mid-December), and a dry season (mid-December until mid –April). The climatic events known as El Niño and La Niña have ample repercussion in Panama. Both are characterized mainly by the alterations that they cause to the regional precipitation patterns (Donoso and Bakkum, 1998)

El Niño is the more studied of the two ENSO extremes, mainly because its effect on the country is more widespread than that of its counterpart La Niña. Therefore, more information exists related to El Niño than to La Niña. Depending on its intensity, El Niño usually causes below normal precipitation in Panama, mainly on the Pacific side of Panama. When a La Niña of considerable intensity occurs, precipitation in Panama tends to be above normal. Floods tend to accompany strong La Niña events. The intensity and duration of the deficit or excess of rain in the country is highly correlated with the intensity of the ENSO extreme event. (more)    Click Here To Read The Full Article (2,316 words)

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IDAAN Prepares For Possiblity of El Niño Induced Drought

WeatherBy Telemetro Reporta - Panama's National Institute of Aqueducts and Sewers (IDAAN) is preparing to mitigate the effects the El Niño phenomenon. IDAAN Director Manuel González Ruiz said on the morning news broadcast on Telemetro that the measures they decide to take will depend on how conditions present themselves in the coming weeks. He added they will be alertly monitoring the flow of water in rivers that have to do with the supply of drinking water in order to take necessary measures. He did not rule out the eventual possibility of water rationing. (Editor's Comment: The last time this happened, there was no shortage of drinking water, but rather the water levels behind the dams used to generate hydroelectric power for the grid fell to exceptionally low levels, prompting the administration of Martin Torrijos to implement all kinds of short term fixes and solutions, including rolling blackouts. In Panama the rainy season normally starts in mid April, but in 2008 dry season lasted until June. The rain eventually started falling, water levels came back up, and the crisis was over. But in Spring of 2008 they were blaming low levels of rainfall on a persistant La Niña ENSO condition - not El Niño. And while I always get them mixed up as to what does which, I know that one causes more rain than normal and the other extreme dryness and lack of rainfall in the dry season. Now, I'm completely confused so let me figure this out.)

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Red Cross Making Flood Relief Funds Available to Panama

WeatherPanama: Floods DREF Operation no. MDRPA005. Source: International Federation of Red Cross And Red Crescent Societies (IFRC). Date: 26 Nov 2009. Full_Report (pdf* format - 718.3 Kbytes). Glide No. FL-2009-000252-PAN. The International Federation's Disaster Relief Emergency Fund (DREF) is a source of un-earmarked money created by the Federation in 1985 to ensure that immediate financial support is available for Red Cross and Red Crescent response to emergencies. The DREF is a vital part of the International Federation's disaster response system and increases the ability of national societies to respond to disasters. CHF 55,038 (USD 54,459 or EUR 36,425) has been allocated from the Federation's Disaster Relief Emergency Fund (DREF) to support the Red Cross Society of Panama in replenishing relief items distributed from prepositioned stocks to assist some 1,250 beneficiaries. Unearmarked funds to repay DREF are encouraged.

Summary: Since 19 November 2009, a high pressure system in the low and medium level of the atmosphere in the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea has caused heavy rain affecting several regions in Panama with floods. This DREF Bulletin focuses on a summary of the event, and the concrete relief action planned to be taken with the DREF support. This operation is expected to be implemented by the Red Cross Society of Panama (RCSP) over three months, and will therefore be completed by 25 February 2010; a Final Report will be made available three months after the end of the operation (by 25 May 2010). (more)    Click Here To Read The Full Article (304 words)

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Panic in Rana de Oro - Tornado Knocks Down Trees and Destroys Roofs

Weather By Milagros Murillo F. for DIAaDIA - The residents of San Martín in Rana de Oro, Pedregal, are still frightened by the strong winds knocked down some trees by their roots and that affected several homes. This incident happened on Sunday afternoon, and those affected reported they suspect it was a tornado that knocked down trees and tore roofs from buildings. Yesterday, a work crew from the Community Board of the area struggling to cut a huge mango tree that fell in the sector A, because in that area about five trees were knocked down in a "domino effect." Mrs. Catalina still remembers the seconds of terror she lived through. She said it was not even raining hard, but then a strong swirling wind bled that increased in strength and uprooted trees. She tried to leave, because he was worried about her son who was at the corner store, however all she could do was stand hard against the wall to keep from being blown down. She further said that in her life she's never seen anything like this. "I had seen it on TV, but never thought that it would happen here," she said. Yesterday, people were taking inventory of the losses in their houses, and personnel from the Ministry of Housing and from the Community Board came to make an assessment and to provide them with some support. We tried to obtain a preliminary report on the damages in Pedregal, Colón and the Darién, but SINAPROC officials said there would be an official statement released today. People thanked God that no one was killed, despite the strong winds.   
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More than 830 homes affected by floods

WeatherTVN Noticias - A total of 830 homes were affected by flooding in Darien and Colon, said the Director of Panama's National Civil Protection System (SINAPROC) Arturo Alvarado in a press conference today, accompanied by the First Lady. Alvarado specified that 800 houses were affected by flooding in the Darien, and of those 12 were seriously damaged or destroyed. In Colon 30 houses were affected, 4 seriously. Alvarado went on to say that they are now in the third stage, and at this point it falls to the Ministry of Health to evaluate the medical condition of those affected, and to the Ministry of Agricultural Development to conduct inspections of the agricultural sector.   Click Here To Read The Full Article (1 words)